As the second article, I will start from the step of building a control system around goals, a complex problem with clear goals that we often face at work (such as how to increase the company's revenue by 10% without spending a penny), So how to build a control system to achieve the goal? In general, the expectation of building a control system is to "ensure that the input that meets certain conditions must have the expected output (achieve the goal) through our control system".
The premise of realizing our expectation here is that we must build around the goal in strict accordance with the causal relationship. control system, so I think Fax List it is necessary to start with "causality". First, from the causal relationship What is causality? The causal relationship is the relationship between one event (ie "cause") and the second event (ie "effect"). For example, the sky will be wet when it rains heavily, and people's lives will be threatened without air. Under normal circumstances This is 100% causal Usually boys get dizzy when they hear this sentence. This is what we often joke about "God's logic".
We all know that the relationship between boyfriend working overtime and loving you is not 100% causal, but, is there any causal relationship? No? No, there is also a certain probability that your boyfriend really doesn't love you anymore. This is probabilistic causality, and probabilistic causality is called correlation in statistics, and correlation does not represent causality. So how do we judge whether an event and another event conform to a causal relationship? Here we can demonstrate from three aspects: Let’s take the example of the girl just now.